Case #532 - 2020 US Presidential Election Omen Market
In December 2020, the outcome of an Omen prediction market asking “Will Joe Biden win the 2020 United States presidential election?” was challenged and ended up being ruled by Kleros arbitration. A lively debate occurred on social media around the validity of the market, as one side argued that the final result could not be known at the time of market resolution. The case ended with a ruling in favor of the “Yes” option, settling more than $2.5M (at the time) of payouts. Read more in this Twitter thread.Case #302 - Number of US COVID Deaths Omen Market
In August 2020, the outcome of an Omen prediction market asking “Will there be a day with at least 1000 reported Corona death in the US in the first 14 days of July?” was challenged and ended up being ruled by Kleros arbitration. A lively debate occurred on social media around this resolution, as different sources for the number of daily COVID deaths were reporting contradictory data. The case ended with a ruling in favor of the “Yes” option, settling more than $2.5M (at the time) of payouts.Case #16/#62/#89 - Listing of Baer token on Ethfinex
The Kleros Tokens registry was used at the time to curate tokens to be listed on the Ethfinex exchange in a decentralized manner. The Baer token was rejected because the community was able to prove that the project was a scam:- Their CTO was fake (a member of a non-existent group at Oxford University, checked with a phone call).
- Suspicious changes to the whitepaper.
- Fake social media profiles.